Detroit Tigers at San Francisco Giants
Detroit Tigers 63% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Tigers:
- Defensive Efficiency. Tigers pitching/defense (4.0 RA/G) better than Giants (4.7 RA/G)
- Offensive Efficiency. Tigers offense (4.5 R/G) outpaces Giants (4.2 R/G)
- ELO Rating. Giants ELO 1469 vs Tigers ELO 1522 (diff: -53)
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Giants defeated the Tigers 5-2.
Our model predicted the Tigers would win with 63% confidence, but the Giants pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Tigers and was a notable factor: Tigers pitching/defense (4.0 RA/G) better than Giants (4.7 RA/G)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Tigers and was a contributing factor: Tigers offense (4.5 R/G) outpaces Giants (4.2 R/G)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Giants and was a contributing factor: Giants are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Giants won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Detroit Tigers
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Detroit Tigers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Francisco Giants
- ELO RatingFavors Detroit Tigers
- Recent FormFavors Detroit Tigers
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Tigers
Giants
No player data available
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Giants has a 37% win probability, while Tigers has a 63% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California.