Week 5
Scheduled
Commanders
Washington
44%
vs
Giants
New York
56%
Slight Lean
WSH vs NYGbreakdown →
NFLNFC • East
Washington Commanders
NFC Conference • East Division
Record
1-3
Division
East
Conference
NFC
Upcoming
2 games
Next Game Prediction
vs New York Giants • Sun, Oct 11 5:00 PM
44%
win probability
Model accuracy on Washington Commanders: 50% (2 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Washington Commanders - 2026 Season
145314371422
Current Elo
1424
Season Change
-26
Season High
1450
Season Low
1424
Avg Change
-15.9
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Washington Commanders - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
+12%
Model Edge Record
0-1
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | Giants | H | 44% | 62% | -17% | Scheduled |
| Oct 4 | Colts | H | 58% | 7% | +52%★ | LOSS✗ |
| Sep 27 | Seahawks | H | 53% | 52% | +1% | WIN✓ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
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Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Washington Commanders play in the NFC conference, East division.
The Commanders play their home games in Washington.
We analyze Commanders games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NFL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Guide
NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
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