Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders
Philadelphia Eagles 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Eagles:
- ELO Rating. Commanders ELO 1424 vs Eagles ELO 1582 (diff: -158)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Eagles at Commanders
The Eagles visit the Commanders at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD in NFL regular season Week 8 action.
Our model gives the Eagles a 51% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Commanders will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Eagles (medium): Commanders ELO 1424 vs Eagles ELO 1582 (diff: -158)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Commanders (medium): Commanders are 1-1 at home this season; Eagles are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Offensive Efficiency is neutral: Offensive efficiency stats not yet available
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia Eagles
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Washington Commanders
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Eagles
Commanders
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Commanders has a 49% win probability, while Eagles has a 51% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD.