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NFL2026 season

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Next meeting

Sun, Nov 1, 2026

Commanders logo
WSH
Washington Commanders
Upcoming
Eagles logo
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles
WSH 62%38% PHI
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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Philadelphia Eagles
  • ELO Rating — Commanders ELO 1424 vs Eagles ELO 1582 (diff: -158)
Washington Commanders
  • Injuries — Commanders healthier: 3 out, 1 doubtful vs Eagles 8 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage — Commanders are 1-1 at home this season; Eagles are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • Rest Days — Commanders has rest advantage (13 days) over Eagles (14 days)

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Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.