Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders
Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders head-to-head
Washington Commanders 50% to win. The biggest signal favoring Commanders:
- Home Field Advantage. Commanders are 1-1 at home this season; Rams are 1-1 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: WSH 55% (+5)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: WSH 47% (−3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Rams at Commanders
The Rams visit the Commanders at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD in NFL regular season Week 9 action.
Our model gives the Commanders a 50% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Rams to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Rams (medium): Commanders ELO 1424 vs Rams ELO 1561 (diff: -137)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Commanders (medium): Commanders are 1-1 at home this season; Rams are 1-1 on the road
- Rest Days is neutral: Rest day data not available for this matchup
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Los Angeles Rams
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Washington Commanders
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Rams
No player data available
Commanders
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Washington Commanders
- Previous game58%SF win probability
- Next game57%NYG win probability
Los Angeles Rams
- Previous game73%LAR win probability
- Next game53%LAR win probability
Other Week 9 games
- 59%JAX win probability
- 53%CIN win probability
- 64%KC win probability
- 62%PHI win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Commanders has a 50% win probability, while Rams has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD.