Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams head-to-head
Los Angeles Rams 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Rams:
- ELO Rating. Cardinals ELO 1412 vs Rams ELO 1561 (diff: -149)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: LAR 48% (−5)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: LAR 54% (+1)
Win probability movement
ARI home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Rams at Cardinals
The Rams visit the Cardinals at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ in NFL regular season Week 10 action.
Our model gives the Rams a 53% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Cardinals to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Rams (medium): Cardinals ELO 1412 vs Rams ELO 1561 (diff: -149)
- Home Field Advantage is neutral: Cardinals are 0-2 at home this season; Rams are 1-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Offensive Efficiency is neutral: Offensive efficiency stats not yet available
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Los Angeles Rams
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Rams
No player data available
Cardinals
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Arizona Cardinals
- Previous game73%LAR win probability
- Next game62%KC win probability
Los Angeles Rams
- Previous game73%LAR win probability
- Next game54%LAR win probability
Other Week 10 games
- 57%NYG win probability
- 58%DET win probability
- 55%KC win probability
- 53%CLE win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Cardinals has a 47% win probability, while Rams has a 53% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ.