Week 5
Scheduled
Jaguars
Jacksonville
65%
Strong Lean
vs
Eagles
Philadelphia
35%
JAX vs PHIbreakdown →
NFLAFC • South
Jacksonville Jaguars
AFC Conference • South Division
Record
3-1
Division
South
Conference
AFC
Upcoming
2 games
Next Game Prediction
vs Philadelphia Eagles • Sun, Oct 11 1:30 PM
65%
win probability
Model accuracy on Jacksonville Jaguars: 50% (2 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Jacksonville Jaguars - 2026 Season
158815771567
Current Elo
1568
Season Change
-18
Season High
1586
Season Low
1568
Avg Change
-2.1
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Jacksonville Jaguars - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-23%
Model Edge Record
0-0
Model Edge Win %
-
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | Eagles | H | 65% | 75% | -10% | Scheduled |
| Oct 4 | Bengals | A | 43% | 88% | -45% | WIN✗ |
| Sep 27 | Patriots | H | 71% | 85% | -14% | WIN✓ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
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Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Jacksonville Jaguars play in the AFC conference, South division.
The Jaguars play their home games in Jacksonville.
We analyze Jaguars games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NFL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Guide
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
4 min readRead article
Deep Dive
Home Field Advantage
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Deep Dive
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
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