Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans head-to-head
Jacksonville Jaguars 57% to win. The biggest signal favoring Jaguars:
- ELO Rating. Titans ELO 1318 vs Jaguars ELO 1568 (diff: -250)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: JAX 48% (−9)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: JAX 57% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Jaguars at Titans
The Jaguars visit the Titans at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN in NFL regular season Week 10 action.
Our model gives the Jaguars a 57% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Titans to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Jaguars (high): Titans ELO 1318 vs Jaguars ELO 1568 (diff: -250)
- Home Field Advantage is neutral: Titans are 0-3 at home this season; Jaguars are 1-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Injuries is neutral: Similar injury situations: Titans (0 out) vs Jaguars (0 out)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Jacksonville Jaguars
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
ELO Rating
Titans ELO 1318 vs Jaguars ELO 1568 (diff: -250)
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Jaguars
Titans
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Tennessee Titans
- Previous game54%IND win probability
- Next game60%DAL win probability
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Previous game62%JAX win probability
- Next game51%NYG win probability
Other Week 10 games
- 57%NYG win probability
- 58%DET win probability
- 55%KC win probability
- 53%CLE win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Titans has a 43% win probability, while Jaguars has a 57% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN.