Week 5
Scheduled
Steelers
Pittsburgh
65%
Slight Lean
vs
Colts
Indianapolis
35%
PIT vs INDbreakdown →
NFLAFC • South
Indianapolis Colts
AFC Conference • South Division
Record
2-2
Division
South
Conference
AFC
Upcoming
2 games
Next Game Prediction
at Pittsburgh Steelers • Sun, Oct 11 5:00 PM
35%
win probability
Model accuracy on Indianapolis Colts: 0% (2 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Indianapolis Colts - 2026 Season
144014351430
Current Elo
1431
Season Change
-8
Season High
1439
Season Low
1431
Avg Change
-17.7
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Indianapolis Colts - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-31%
Model Edge Record
0-0
Model Edge Win %
-
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | Steelers | A | 35% | 44% | -8% | Scheduled |
| Oct 4 | Commanders | A | 42% | 93% | -52% | WIN✗ |
| Sep 27 | Texans | H | 41% | 74% | -33% | WIN✗ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
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Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Indianapolis Colts play in the AFC conference, South division.
The Colts play their home games in Indianapolis.
We analyze Colts games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NFL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Guide
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
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Deep Dive
Home Field Advantage
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Deep Dive
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
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