Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams 66% to win. The biggest signal favoring Rams:
- Injuries. Rams healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Bills 7 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Bills defeated the Rams 37-34.
Our model predicted the Rams would win with 66% confidence, but the Bills pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Rams and was a major factor: Rams healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Bills 7 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating favored the Bills and was a contributing factor: Rams ELO 1561 vs Bills ELO 1631 (diff: -70)
- Home Field Advantage was neutral and a contributing factor: Rams are 1-1 at home this season; Bills are 1-0 on the road
- The Bills are without 7 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Bills won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Los Angeles Rams
- ELO RatingFavors Buffalo Bills
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Rams
Bills
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Rams healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Bills 7 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Rams
No injuries reported
Bills
Key Players
Bills
Rams
No player data available
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Rams has a 66% win probability, while Bills has a 34% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA.