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Final
Blue Jays
Toronto
5
vs
Reds
Cincinnati
1
TOR vs CINbreakdown →
MLBAmerican League • AL East
Toronto Blue Jays
American League Conference • AL East Division
Record
69-75
Division
AL East
Conference
American League
Upcoming
0 games
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Toronto Blue Jays - 2026 Season
150214841466
Current Elo
1469
Season Change
-25
Season High
1499
Season Low
1469
Avg Change
+0.3
Games
5
Model vs. Market History
Toronto Blue Jays - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
0%
Model Edge Record
0-0
Model Edge Win %
-
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | Reds | H | 50% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Sep 26 | Reds | H | 51% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Sep 25 | Reds | H | 59% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Sep 23 | Orioles | A | 44% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Aug 7 | Phillies | A | 37% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Aug 6 | Cubs | A | 25% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Aug 5 | Astros | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Aug 5 | Astros | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Aug 4 | Astros | A | 46% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Aug 2 | Cardinals | H | 57% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Aug 1 | Cardinals | H | 57% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 31 | Cardinals | H | 59% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 29 | Nationals | A | 44% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 28 | Nationals | A | 44% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 27 | Nationals | A | 44% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 26 | Red Sox | A | 47% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 25 | Red Sox | A | 47% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 24 | Red Sox | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 23 | Rays | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 22 | Rays | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 21 | Rays | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 20 | Rays | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 19 | Chicago White Sox | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 18 | Chicago White Sox | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 17 | Chicago White Sox | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 12 | Padres | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 12 | Padres | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 11 | Padres | A | 46% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 8 | Giants | A | 46% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 8 | Giants | A | 46% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 7 | Giants | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 5 | Mariners | A | 47% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 4 | Mariners | A | 47% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 4 | Mariners | A | 49% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 1 | Mets | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 30 | Mets | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 29 | Mets | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 28 | Rangers | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 27 | Rangers | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 26 | Rangers | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 25 | Rangers | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 24 | Astros | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 23 | Astros | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 22 | Astros | H | 58% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 21 | Cubs | A | 46% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Jun 20 | Cubs | A | 46% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 19 | Cubs | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 18 | Red Sox | A | 47% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 17 | Red Sox | A | 47% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 16 | Red Sox | A | 49% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 14 | Yankees | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 13 | Yankees | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 12 | Yankees | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 10 | Phillies | H | 57% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 9 | Phillies | H | 57% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 8 | Phillies | H | 57% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 7 | Orioles | H | 57% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 6 | Orioles | H | 57% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 5 | Orioles | H | 51% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 4 | Braves | A | 46% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 3 | Braves | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 2 | Braves | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 31 | Orioles | A | 47% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 30 | Orioles | A | 47% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 29 | Orioles | A | 47% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| May 28 | Orioles | A | 47% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| May 27 | Marlins | H | 83% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 26 | Marlins | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 25 | Marlins | H | 68% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 24 | Pirates | H | 57% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 23 | Pirates | H | 87% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 22 | Pirates | H | 48% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| May 21 | Yankees | A | 87% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 20 | Yankees | A | 86% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 19 | Yankees | A | 61% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 18 | Yankees | A | 43% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 17 | Tigers | A | 92% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 16 | Tigers | A | 68% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 15 | Tigers | A | 88% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 13 | Rays | H | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| May 12 | Rays | H | 26% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 11 | Rays | H | 27% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 10 | Angels | H | 83% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 9 | Angels | H | 93% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 8 | Angels | H | 88% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 6 | Rays | A | 44% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 5 | Rays | A | 43% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 4 | Rays | A | 22% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 3 | Twins | A | 19% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 2 | Twins | A | 28% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| May 2 | Twins | A | 87% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 30 | Twins | A | 87% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 29 | Red Sox | H | 90% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 28 | Red Sox | H | 65% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 27 | Red Sox | H | 32% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 26 | Guardians | H | 59% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 25 | Guardians | H | 67% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 24 | Guardians | H | 65% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 22 | Angels | A | 23% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 22 | Angels | A | 80% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 21 | Angels | A | 76% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 19 | Diamondbacks | A | 76% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 19 | Diamondbacks | A | 33% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 18 | Diamondbacks | A | 12% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 16 | Brewers | A | 16% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 15 | Brewers | A | 33% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 14 | Brewers | A | 31% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Apr 12 | Twins | H | 70% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 11 | Twins | H | 63% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 10 | Twins | H | 83% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 8 | Dodgers | H | 86% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 7 | Dodgers | H | 29% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 6 | Dodgers | H | 26% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 5 | Chicago White Sox | A | 75% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 4 | Chicago White Sox | A | 80% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 3 | Chicago White Sox | A | 13% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 2 | Chicago White Sox | A | 45% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Apr 1 | Rockies | H | 83% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 31 | Rockies | H | 89% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 30 | Rockies | H | 60% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 29 | Athletics | H | 91% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 28 | Athletics | H | 89% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 27 | Athletics | H | 79% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 22 | Rays | H | 47% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 21 | Pirates | A | 12% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 20 | Twins | A | 36% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 19 | Yankees | H | 50% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 18 | Orioles | H | 87% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 16 | Marlins | A | 66% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 15 | Mets | A | 47% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 14 | Tigers | H | 77% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 13 | Twins | H | 50% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 12 | Phillies | A | 42% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 11 | Mets | A | 38% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 10 | Braves | H | 86% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 8 | Tigers | H | 91% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 8 | Orioles | A | 38% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 7 | Phillies | A | 51% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 6 | Pirates | H | 95% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Feb 28 | Mets | A | 53% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Toronto Blue Jays play in the American League conference, AL East division.
The Blue Jays play their home games in Toronto.
We analyze Blue Jays games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
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