MLBAmerican League • AL West

Houston Astros

American League Conference • AL West Division

Record

74-72

Division

AL West

Conference

American League

Upcoming

0 games

Team Analytics

Elo Rating History

Houston Astros - 2026 Season

156015101460

Current Elo

1510

Season Change

Season High

1510

Season Low

1510

Avg Change

-6.6

Games

Model vs. Market History

Houston Astros - 2026 Season

Avg Edge

+1%

Model Edge Record

3-4

Model Edge Win %

43%

Date	Opponent	H/A	Model	Market	Edge	Result
Oct 1	Chicago White Sox	H	38%	10%	+27%★	Scheduled
Sep 30	Chicago White Sox	H	38%	17%	+22%★	LOSS✓
Sep 29	Chicago White Sox	H	39%	46%	-8%	LOSS✓
Sep 27	Athletics	A	65%	64%	+1%	WIN✓
Sep 27	Athletics	A	64%	59%	+5%	WIN✓
Sep 26	Athletics	A	64%	-	-	LOSS✗
Sep 25	Athletics	A	58%	-	-	WIN✓
Sep 24	Mariners	A	46%	-	-	LOSS✓
Aug 8	Padres	A	35%	-	-	WIN✗
Aug 5	Blue Jays	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Aug 5	Blue Jays	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Aug 4	Blue Jays	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Aug 2	Rangers	H	55%	56%	-1%	WIN✓
Aug 1	Rangers	H	55%	54%	+1%	WIN✓
Aug 1	Rangers	H	55%	47%	+8%★	WIN✓
Jul 30	Angels	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 29	Angels	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 28	Angels	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 26	Chicago White Sox	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 25	Chicago White Sox	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 24	Chicago White Sox	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 23	Marlins	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 22	Marlins	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 21	Marlins	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 19	Orioles	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 18	Orioles	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 18	Orioles	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 12	Rangers	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 11	Rangers	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 11	Rangers	A	47%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 8	Nationals	A	43%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 7	Nationals	A	43%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 6	Nationals	A	43%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 5	Rays	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 4	Rays	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 4	Rays	H	56%	50%	+7%★	LOSS✗
Jul 2	Twins	H	55%	44%	+11%★	LOSS✗
Jul 1	Twins	H	55%	24%	+31%★	WIN✓
Jun 30	Twins	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 28	Tigers	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 27	Tigers	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 26	Tigers	A	46%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 25	Tigers	A	40%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 24	Blue Jays	A	44%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 23	Blue Jays	A	44%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 22	Blue Jays	A	42%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 21	Guardians	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 20	Guardians	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 20	Guardians	H	56%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 17	Tigers	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 17	Tigers	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 16	Tigers	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 14	Royals	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 13	Royals	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 13	Royals	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 11	Angels	A	46%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 10	Angels	A	46%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 9	Angels	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 7	Athletics	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 6	Athletics	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 6	Athletics	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 5	Pirates	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 4	Pirates	H	54%	40%	+14%★	WIN✓
Jun 3	Pirates	H	54%	71%	-17%	LOSS✗
May 31	Brewers	H	53%	-	-	LOSS✗
May 30	Brewers	H	53%	-	-	WIN✓
May 30	Brewers	H	51%	-	-	LOSS✗
May 29	Rangers	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
May 28	Rangers	A	73%	-	-	WIN✓
May 27	Rangers	A	35%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 25	Rangers	A	49%	-	-	WIN✗
May 24	Cubs	A	62%	-	-	WIN✓
May 23	Cubs	A	88%	-	-	WIN✓
May 22	Cubs	A	92%	-	-	WIN✓
May 20	Twins	A	6%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 19	Twins	A	47%	-	-	WIN✗
May 18	Twins	A	39%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 17	Rangers	H	37%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 16	Rangers	H	78%	-	-	WIN✓
May 16	Rangers	H	43%	-	-	WIN✗
May 14	Mariners	H	28%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 14	Mariners	H	66%	-	-	WIN✓
May 13	Mariners	H	17%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 12	Mariners	H	26%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 10	Reds	A	50%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 9	Reds	A	21%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 8	Reds	A	80%	-	-	WIN✓
May 6	Dodgers	H	30%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 6	Dodgers	H	24%	33%	-9%	WIN✗
May 5	Dodgers	H	17%	29%	-12%	LOSS✓
May 3	Red Sox	A	71%	-	-	WIN✓
May 2	Red Sox	A	80%	-	-	WIN✓
May 1	Red Sox	A	37%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 30	Orioles	A	42%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 30	Orioles	A	34%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 29	Orioles	A	45%	-	-	Scheduled
Apr 28	Orioles	A	16%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 26	Yankees	H	85%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 25	Yankees	H	82%	-	-	LOSS✗
Apr 25	Yankees	H	71%	-	-	LOSS✗
Apr 22	Guardians	A	40%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 21	Guardians	A	32%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 20	Guardians	A	60%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 19	Cardinals	H	21%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 18	Cardinals	H	14%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 18	Cardinals	H	1%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 17	Rockies	H	17%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 16	Rockies	H	73%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 15	Rockies	H	39%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 13	Mariners	A	70%	-	-	LOSS✗
Apr 12	Mariners	A	25%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 12	Mariners	A	27%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 11	Mariners	A	30%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 8	Rockies	A	23%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 8	Rockies	A	60%	-	-	LOSS✗
Apr 7	Rockies	A	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Apr 5	Athletics	A	55%	52%	+3%	LOSS✗
Apr 4	Athletics	A	45%	69%	-23%	WIN✗
Apr 4	Athletics	A	11%	51%	-39%	LOSS✓
Apr 1	Red Sox	H	59%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 1	Red Sox	H	39%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 31	Red Sox	H	53%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 29	Angels	H	69%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 28	Angels	H	79%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 28	Angels	H	59%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 26	Angels	H	81%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 22	Cardinals	H	43%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 21	Mets	A	39%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 20	Marlins	H	37%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 19	Mets	H	29%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 18	Cardinals	A	74%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 17	Pirates	A	69%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 15	Marlins	H	74%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 14	Mets	H	62%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 13	Cardinals	A	57%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 12	Nationals	H	18%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 11	Marlins	A	74%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 10	Orioles	H	87%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 9	Cardinals	H	93%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 8	Nationals	A	9%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 7	Marlins	H	63%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 6	Nationals	H	44%	-	-	WIN✗

Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies

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Frequently Asked Questions

The Houston Astros play in the American League conference, AL West division.

The Astros play their home games in Houston.

We analyze Astros games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.

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