Houston Astros at Athletics Athletics
Houston Astros 64% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Astros:
- Injuries. Astros healthier (9 out, 0 doubtful) vs Oakland Athletics (12 out, 0 doubtful)
- ELO Rating. Oakland Athletics ELO 1379 vs Astros ELO 1514 (diff: -135)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Oakland Athletics defeated the Astros 6-5.
Our model predicted the Astros would win with 64% confidence, but the Oakland Athletics pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Astros and was a major factor: Astros healthier (9 out, 0 doubtful) vs Oakland Athletics (12 out, 0 doubtful)
- ELO Rating favored the Astros and was a notable factor: Oakland Athletics ELO 1379 vs Astros ELO 1514 (diff: -135)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Oakland Athletics and was a contributing factor: Oakland Athletics are 30-41 at home this season; Astros are 35-32 on the road
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Oakland Athletics have 12 player(s) ruled out, while the Astros have 9.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Athletics won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Houston Astros
- ELO RatingFavors Houston Astros
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Athletics Athletics
- Recent FormNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Astros healthier (9 out, 0 doubtful) vs Oakland Athletics (12 out, 0 doubtful)
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Astros
Athletics
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Athletics has a 36% win probability, while Astros has a 64% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, California.