MLBNational League • NL Central

Chicago Cubs

National League Conference • NL Central Division

Record

83-67

Division

NL Central

Conference

National League

Upcoming

0 games

Team Analytics

Elo Rating History

Chicago Cubs - 2026 Season

156715311494

Current Elo

1561

Season Change

+54

Season High

1561

Season Low

1500

Avg Change

-1.8

Games

Model vs. Market History

Chicago Cubs - 2026 Season

Avg Edge

+10%

Model Edge Record

8-3

Model Edge Win %

73%

Date	Opponent	H/A	Model	Market	Edge	Result
Oct 2	Padres	A	40%	6%	+34%★	Scheduled
Oct 1	Padres	A	40%	43%	-3%	LOSS✓
Sep 30	Padres	A	41%	45%	-4%	LOSS✓
Sep 27	Red Sox	A	64%	-	-	WIN✓
Sep 25	Red Sox	A	66%	-	-	LOSS✗
Sep 25	Red Sox	A	66%	-	-	LOSS✗
Sep 24	Marlins	H	66%	-	-	WIN✓
Sep 23	Marlins	H	57%	-	-	LOSS✗
Aug 8	Royals	A	73%	-	-	WIN✓
Aug 6	Blue Jays	H	75%	-	-	WIN✓
Aug 5	Dodgers	H	49%	-	-	WIN✗
Aug 5	Dodgers	H	49%	-	-	WIN✗
Aug 4	Dodgers	H	55%	47%	+8%★	WIN✓
Aug 2	Yankees	H	55%	53%	+2%	LOSS✗
Aug 1	Yankees	H	55%	45%	+9%★	WIN✓
Jul 31	Yankees	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 30	Cardinals	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 29	Cardinals	A	46%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 28	Cardinals	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 27	Cardinals	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 26	Pirates	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 25	Pirates	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 24	Pirates	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 23	Tigers	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 22	Tigers	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 21	Tigers	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 19	Twins	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 18	Twins	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 18	Twins	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 12	Reds	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 11	Reds	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 10	Reds	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 9	Orioles	A	46%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 8	Orioles	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 7	Orioles	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 5	Cardinals	H	56%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 5	Cardinals	H	56%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 3	Cardinals	H	63%	54%	+9%★	LOSS✗
Jul 1	Padres	H	53%	61%	-8%	WIN✓
Jul 1	Padres	H	53%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 30	Padres	H	53%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 28	Brewers	A	43%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 27	Brewers	A	43%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 26	Brewers	A	42%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 25	Mets	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 24	Mets	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 24	Mets	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 23	Mets	A	47%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 22	Mets	A	53%	-	-	Scheduled
Jun 21	Blue Jays	H	54%	-	-	Scheduled
Jun 20	Blue Jays	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 19	Blue Jays	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 18	Rockies	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 17	Rockies	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 16	Rockies	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 14	Giants	A	44%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 14	Giants	A	44%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 13	Giants	A	43%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 11	Rockies	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 11	Rockies	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 10	Rockies	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 8	Giants	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 6	Giants	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 5	Giants	H	48%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 5	Athletics	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 4	Athletics	H	55%	52%	+3%	LOSS✗
Jun 3	Athletics	H	55%	54%	+1%	LOSS✗
May 31	Cardinals	A	46%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 30	Cardinals	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
May 29	Cardinals	A	44%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 28	Pirates	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
May 27	Pirates	A	24%	-	-	WIN✗
May 26	Pirates	A	25%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 25	Pirates	A	16%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 24	Astros	H	38%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 23	Astros	H	12%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 22	Astros	H	8%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 20	Brewers	H	1%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 19	Brewers	H	1%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 18	Brewers	H	2%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 17	Chicago White Sox	A	4%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 16	Chicago White Sox	A	13%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 15	Chicago White Sox	A	76%	-	-	WIN✓
May 14	Braves	A	59%	-	-	WIN✓
May 13	Braves	A	17%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 12	Braves	A	9%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 10	Rangers	A	15%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 9	Rangers	A	6%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 9	Rangers	A	34%	-	-	WIN✗
May 7	Reds	H	92%	-	-	WIN✓
May 6	Reds	H	81%	-	-	WIN✓
May 5	Reds	H	80%	59%	+21%★	WIN✓
May 4	Reds	H	86%	66%	+20%★	WIN✓
May 3	Diamondbacks	H	83%	62%	+21%★	WIN✓
May 2	Diamondbacks	H	83%	62%	+21%★	WIN✓
May 1	Diamondbacks	H	93%	61%	+31%★	WIN✓
Apr 29	Padres	A	25%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 29	Padres	A	57%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 28	Padres	A	40%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 26	Dodgers	A	14%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 25	Dodgers	A	8%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 25	Dodgers	A	43%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 23	Phillies	H	92%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 22	Phillies	H	85%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 21	Phillies	H	88%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 20	Phillies	H	81%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 19	Mets	H	78%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 18	Mets	H	86%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 17	Mets	H	74%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 15	Phillies	A	86%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 14	Phillies	A	85%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 13	Phillies	A	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Apr 12	Pirates	H	34%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 11	Pirates	H	30%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 10	Pirates	H	13%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 8	Rays	A	39%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 7	Rays	A	65%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 6	Rays	A	47%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 5	Guardians	A	14%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 5	Guardians	A	34%	54%	-20%	WIN✗
Apr 4	Guardians	A	45%	52%	-6%	Scheduled
Apr 3	Guardians	A	58%	46%	+12%★	LOSS✗
Apr 1	Angels	H	97%	62%	+35%★	WIN✓
Mar 31	Angels	H	52%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 30	Angels	H	42%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 29	Nationals	H	17%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 28	Nationals	H	48%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 26	Nationals	H	18%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 24	Yankees	H	23%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 23	Yankees	H	39%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 22	Brewers	H	34%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 22	Mariners	A	80%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 21	Athletics	A	34%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 21	Reds	H	87%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 18	Diamondbacks	A	40%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 18	Angels	H	25%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 17	Guardians	A	42%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 15	Dodgers	H	68%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 14	Rockies	A	62%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 13	Chicago White Sox	A	23%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 12	Mariners	H	56%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 11	Royals	H	81%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 10	Rangers	A	22%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 8	Giants	H	76%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 7	Athletics	H	81%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 7	Padres	A	34%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 4	Brewers	A	59%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 1	Chicago White Sox	H	56%	-	-	LOSS✗
Feb 28	Angels	A	53%	-	-	WIN✓

Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies

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Frequently Asked Questions

The Chicago Cubs play in the National League conference, NL Central division.

The Cubs play their home games in Chicago.

We analyze Cubs games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.

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