MLBAmerican League • AL East

Baltimore Orioles

American League Conference • AL East Division

Record

68-72

Division

AL East

Conference

American League

Upcoming

0 games

Team Analytics

Elo Rating History

Baltimore Orioles - 2026 Season

155915091459

Current Elo

1509

Season Change

Season High

1509

Season Low

1509

Avg Change

-5.0

Games

Model vs. Market History

Baltimore Orioles - 2026 Season

Avg Edge

-9%

Model Edge Record

2-2

Model Edge Win %

50%

Date	Opponent	H/A	Model	Market	Edge	Result
Sep 27	Yankees	A	20%	48%	-28%	Scheduled
Sep 25	Yankees	A	19%	-	-	LOSS✓
Sep 25	Yankees	A	23%	-	-	WIN✗
Sep 23	Blue Jays	H	56%	-	-	WIN✓
Aug 8	Rangers	A	48%	-	-	LOSS✓
Aug 6	Angels	H	65%	-	-	LOSS✗
Aug 5	Angels	H	65%	-	-	WIN✓
Aug 4	Angels	H	65%	-	-	WIN✓
Aug 2	Phillies	H	55%	22%	+33%★	LOSS✗
Aug 1	Phillies	H	55%	45%	+10%★	LOSS✗
Jul 31	Phillies	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 29	Tigers	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 28	Tigers	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 27	Tigers	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 26	Braves	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 25	Braves	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 24	Braves	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 22	Red Sox	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 22	Red Sox	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 21	Red Sox	A	45%	-	-	Scheduled
Jul 20	Red Sox	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 19	Astros	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 18	Astros	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 18	Astros	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 12	Royals	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 11	Royals	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 10	Royals	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 9	Cubs	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 8	Cubs	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 7	Cubs	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 5	Reds	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 4	Reds	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 3	Reds	A	46%	53%	-7%	WIN✗
Jul 1	Chicago White Sox	H	55%	51%	+3%	WIN✓
Jun 30	Chicago White Sox	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 29	Chicago White Sox	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 28	Nationals	H	52%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 27	Nationals	H	52%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 26	Nationals	H	53%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 24	Angels	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 24	Angels	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 23	Angels	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 21	Dodgers	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 21	Dodgers	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 20	Dodgers	A	43%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 18	Mariners	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 18	Mariners	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 17	Mariners	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 14	Padres	H	52%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 13	Padres	H	52%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 12	Padres	H	51%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 11	Mariners	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 10	Mariners	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 9	Mariners	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 8	Mariners	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 7	Blue Jays	A	43%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 6	Blue Jays	A	43%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 5	Blue Jays	A	49%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 4	Red Sox	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 3	Red Sox	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 2	Red Sox	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
May 31	Blue Jays	H	53%	-	-	WIN✓
May 30	Blue Jays	H	53%	-	-	WIN✓
May 29	Blue Jays	H	53%	-	-	LOSS✗
May 28	Blue Jays	H	53%	-	-	LOSS✗
May 27	Rays	H	36%	-	-	WIN✗
May 26	Rays	H	50%	-	-	WIN✓
May 25	Rays	H	77%	-	-	WIN✓
May 24	Tigers	H	50%	-	-	LOSS✗
May 24	Tigers	H	75%	-	-	WIN✓
May 23	Tigers	H	55%	-	-	Scheduled
May 22	Tigers	H	94%	-	-	WIN✓
May 20	Rays	A	13%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 19	Rays	A	7%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 18	Rays	A	5%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 17	Nationals	A	24%	-	-	WIN✗
May 16	Nationals	A	12%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 15	Nationals	A	32%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 13	Yankees	H	73%	-	-	WIN✓
May 12	Yankees	H	25%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 11	Yankees	H	48%	-	-	WIN✗
May 10	Athletics	H	61%	-	-	WIN✓
May 9	Athletics	H	60%	-	-	LOSS✗
May 8	Athletics	H	20%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 7	Marlins	A	46%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 6	Marlins	A	41%	-	-	WIN✗
May 5	Marlins	A	52%	45%	+7%★	WIN✓
May 4	Yankees	A	4%	34%	-30%	LOSS✓
May 3	Yankees	A	4%	28%	-24%	LOSS✓
May 2	Yankees	A	2%	39%	-37%	LOSS✓
May 1	Yankees	A	3%	42%	-39%	LOSS✓
Apr 30	Astros	H	58%	-	-	LOSS✗
Apr 30	Astros	H	66%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 29	Astros	H	55%	-	-	Scheduled
Apr 28	Astros	H	84%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 26	Red Sox	H	10%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 25	Red Sox	H	19%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 24	Red Sox	H	59%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 22	Royals	A	78%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 21	Royals	A	74%	-	-	LOSS✗
Apr 20	Royals	A	82%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 19	Guardians	A	21%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 18	Guardians	A	42%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 17	Guardians	A	60%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 16	Guardians	A	49%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 15	Diamondbacks	H	38%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 14	Diamondbacks	H	35%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 13	Diamondbacks	H	27%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 12	Giants	H	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 11	Giants	H	48%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 10	Giants	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Apr 8	Chicago White Sox	A	51%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 7	Chicago White Sox	A	65%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 6	Chicago White Sox	A	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 5	Pirates	A	25%	47%	-22%	LOSS✓
Apr 4	Pirates	A	37%	48%	-10%	LOSS✓
Apr 3	Pirates	A	38%	52%	-13%	LOSS✓
Apr 1	Rangers	H	79%	51%	+28%★	WIN✓
Mar 31	Rangers	H	51%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 30	Rangers	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 29	Twins	H	80%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 28	Twins	H	52%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 26	Twins	H	73%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 23	Nationals	A	21%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 22	Nationals	H	14%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 21	Phillies	H	58%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 20	Yankees	A	30%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 19	Pirates	H	63%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 19	Yankees	A	12%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 18	Blue Jays	A	13%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 17	Tigers	A	73%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 16	Red Sox	H	55%	-	-	Scheduled
Mar 16	Red Sox	H	55%	-	-	Scheduled
Mar 15	Yankees	H	55%	-	-	Scheduled
Mar 14	Pirates	A	12%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 13	Phillies	A	74%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 11	Pirates	H	36%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 10	Astros	A	13%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 9	Cardinals	A	24%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 8	Blue Jays	H	62%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 7	Braves	A	33%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 7	Twins	H	87%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 6	Cardinals	H	47%	-	-	LOSS✓

Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies

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Frequently Asked Questions

The Baltimore Orioles play in the American League conference, AL East division.

The Orioles play their home games in Baltimore.

We analyze Orioles games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.

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