NHL weekly recap: week of 2026-04-06 (2025-26)
Hit rate this week: 58% across 52 games; season-to-date: 53%. Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as model accuracy.
Biggest upset
The model's favorite lost at 67% — final COL 2–STL 3
- Offensive Efficiency (favors COL)
- Recent Form (favors COL)
- Home Field Advantage (favors COL)
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blues at Avalanche Mon, Apr 6 | COL 67% • STL 33% | COL 2–STL 3 | Miss |
| Lightning at Sabres Mon, Apr 6 | BUF 56% • TBL 44% | BUF 4–TBL 2 | Hit |
| Kraken at Jets Mon, Apr 6 | WPG 58% • SEA 42% | WPG 6–SEA 2 | Hit |
| Blackhawks at Sharks Tue, Apr 7 | SJS 56% • CHI 44% | SJS 3–CHI 2 | Hit |
| Predators at Kings Tue, Apr 7 | LAK 57% • NSH 43% | LAK 3–NSH 2 | Hit |
| Blue Jackets at Red Wings Tue, Apr 7 | DET 56% • CBJ 44% | DET 3–CBJ 4 | Miss |
| Bruins at Hurricanes Tue, Apr 7 | CAR 56% • BOS 44% | CAR 6–BOS 5 | Hit |
| Lightning at Senators Tue, Apr 7 | OTT 54% • TBL 46% | OTT 6–TBL 2 | Hit |
| Panthers at Canadiens Tue, Apr 7 | MTL 58% • FLA 42% | MTL 4–FLA 3 | Hit |
| Flyers at Devils Tue, Apr 7 | NJD 56% • PHI 44% | NJD 1–PHI 5 | Miss |
| Avalanche at Blues Wed, Apr 8 | STL 43% • COL 57% | STL 1–COL 3 | Hit |
| Flames at Stars Wed, Apr 8 | DAL 57% • CGY 43% | DAL 4–CGY 3 | Hit |
| Kraken at Wild Wed, Apr 8 | MIN 58% • SEA 42% | MIN 5–SEA 2 | Hit |
| Oilers at Utah Hockey Club Wed, Apr 8 | UTA 59% • EDM 41% | UTA 6–EDM 5 | Hit |
| Predators at Ducks Wed, Apr 8 | ANA 66% • NSH 34% | ANA 0–NSH 5 | Miss |
| Golden Knights at Canucks Wed, Apr 8 | VAN 48% • VGK 52% | VAN 1–VGK 2 | Hit |
| Sabres at Rangers Wed, Apr 8 | NYR 57% • BUF 43% | NYR 3–BUF 5 | Miss |
| Capitals at Maple Leafs Wed, Apr 8 | TOR 52% • WSH 48% | TOR 0–WSH 4 | Miss |
| Oilers at Sharks Thu, Apr 9 | SJS 56% • EDM 44% | SJS 2–EDM 5 | Miss |
| Maple Leafs at Islanders Thu, Apr 9 | NYI 67% • TOR 34% | NYI 5–TOR 3 | Hit |
| Penguins at Devils Thu, Apr 9 | NJD 57% • PIT 43% | NJD 2–PIT 5 | Miss |
| Lightning at Canadiens Thu, Apr 9 | MTL 53% • TBL 47% | MTL 2–TBL 1 | Hit |
| Flyers at Red Wings Thu, Apr 9 | DET 56% • PHI 44% | DET 6–PHI 3 | Hit |
| Panthers at Senators Thu, Apr 9 | OTT 57% • FLA 43% | OTT 5–FLA 1 | Hit |
| Blue Jackets at Sabres Thu, Apr 9 | BUF 55% • CBJ 45% | BUF 5–CBJ 0 | Hit |
| Jets at Blues Fri, Apr 10 | STL 52% • WPG 48% | STL 2–WPG 3 | Miss |
| Hurricanes at Blackhawks Fri, Apr 10 | CHI 56% • CAR 44% | CHI 2–CAR 7 | Miss |
| Predators at Utah Hockey Club Fri, Apr 10 | UTA 60% • NSH 40% | UTA 4–NSH 1 | Hit |
| Flames at Avalanche Fri, Apr 10 | COL 67% • CGY 33% | COL 3–CGY 1 | Hit |
| Wild at Stars Fri, Apr 10 | DAL 56% • MIN 44% | DAL 5–MIN 4 | Hit |
| Sharks at Ducks Fri, Apr 10 | ANA 59% • SJS 41% | ANA 6–SJS 1 | Hit |
| Golden Knights at Kraken Fri, Apr 10 | SEA 56% • VGK 44% | SEA 4–VGK 3 | Hit |
| Canucks at Kings Fri, Apr 10 | LAK 62% • VAN 38% | LAK 4–VAN 1 | Hit |
| Lightning at Bruins Sat, Apr 11 | BOS 55% • TBL 45% | BOS 1–TBL 2 | Miss |
| Senators at Islanders Sat, Apr 11 | NYI 57% • OTT 43% | NYI 0–OTT 3 | Miss |
| Capitals at Penguins Sat, Apr 11 | PIT 55% • WSH 45% | PIT 3–WSH 6 | Miss |
| Oilers at Kings Sat, Apr 11 | LAK 52% • EDM 48% | LAK 1–EDM 0 | Hit |
| Wild at Predators Sat, Apr 11 | NSH 56% • MIN 44% | NSH 2–MIN 1 | Hit |
| Hurricanes at Utah Hockey Club Sat, Apr 11 | UTA 56% • CAR 44% | UTA 1–CAR 4 | Miss |
| Devils at Red Wings Sat, Apr 11 | DET 56% • NJD 44% | DET 3–NJD 5 | Miss |
| Rangers at Stars Sat, Apr 11 | DAL 55% • NYR 45% | DAL 2–NYR 0 | Hit |
| Blues at Blackhawks Sat, Apr 11 | CHI 56% • STL 44% | CHI 3–STL 5 | Miss |
| Flyers at Jets Sat, Apr 11 | WPG 55% • PHI 45% | WPG 1–PHI 7 | Miss |
| Blue Jackets at Canadiens Sat, Apr 11 | MTL 57% • CBJ 43% | MTL 2–CBJ 5 | Miss |
| Flames at Kraken Sat, Apr 11 | SEA 56% • CGY 44% | SEA 4–CGY 1 | Hit |
| Panthers at Maple Leafs Sat, Apr 11 | TOR 55% • FLA 45% | TOR 2–FLA 6 | Miss |
| Golden Knights at Avalanche Sun, Apr 12 | COL 64% • VGK 36% | COL 2–VGK 3 | Miss |
| Canucks at Sharks Sun, Apr 12 | SJS 63% • VAN 37% | SJS 3–VAN 4 | Miss |
| Penguins at Capitals Sun, Apr 12 | WSH 56% • PIT 44% | WSH 3–PIT 0 | Hit |
| Canadiens at Islanders Sun, Apr 12 | NYI 62% • MTL 38% | NYI 1–MTL 4 | Miss |
| Bruins at Blue Jackets Sun, Apr 12 | CBJ 49% • BOS 51% | CBJ 2–BOS 3 | Hit |
| Senators at Devils Sun, Apr 12 | NJD 54% • OTT 46% | NJD 4–OTT 3 | Hit |