San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Ducks:
- Home Field Advantage. Ducks are 0-0 at home this season
- Rest Days. Ducks rest advantage (2 days rest) over Sharks (1 day rest)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: ANA 55% (−4)
- If the rest edge were neutral: ANA 57% (−2)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: ANA 58% (−1)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: ANA 58% (−1)
Win probability movement
ANA home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Ducks defeated the Sharks 6-1.
Our model predicted the Ducks would win with 59% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Ducks and was a notable factor: Ducks are 0-0 at home this season
- Rest Days favored the Ducks and was a contributing factor: Ducks rest advantage (2 days rest) over Sharks (1 day rest)
- Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar form: Ducks (35-24) vs Sharks (30-25)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Ducks won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Rest DaysFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Recent FormNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Sharks
Ducks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Ducks has a 59% win probability, while Sharks has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Honda Center in Anaheim, CA.