Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins
NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Capitals (away)
Penguins (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Capitals won 3-6
Capitals won in a close game
Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Penguins at 55%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
WSH
PIT
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours WSH|Favours PIT
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/11/2026, 8:50:00 AM
Key Players
Capitals
Jesper VikmanG
Logan ThompsonG
Clay StevensonG
Charlie LindgrenG
Dylan StromeC
Penguins
Stuart SkinnerG
Arturs SilovsG
Taylor GauthierG
Blake LizotteC
Noel AcciariC
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Penguins has a 55% win probability, while Capitals has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA.