Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators
NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Lightning (away)
Senators (home)
6%
Win probability
94%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Senators defeated the Lightning 6-2.
Our model predicted the Senators would win with 94% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Key Players
Lightning
Olivier RodrigueG
Mads SogaardG
Andrei VasilevskiyG
Harrison MeneghinG
Kyle KoninG
Senators
Samuel ErssonG
Linus UllmarkG
James ReimerG
Leevi MerilainenG
Shane PintoC
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Senators has a 94% win probability, while Lightning has a 6% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON.