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Carolina Hurricanes at Utah Utah Hockey Club

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
UTA 56%44% CAR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Utah Utah Hockey Club 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Utah Hockey Club:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: UTA 52% (−4)

Win probability movement

UTA home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement61%56%51%Apr 8Apr 11

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

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VenueDelta Center
Salt Lake City, UT

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Hurricanes (away)
Utah Hockey Club (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Hurricanes defeated the Utah Hockey Club 4-1.

Our model predicted the Utah Hockey Club would win with 56% confidence, but the Hurricanes won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Hurricanes won 1-4

Hurricanes won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Utah Hockey Club at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CAR
UTA
Home Field Advantage
Favours CAR|Favours UTA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/11/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Hurricanes

Brandon BussiG
Cayden PrimeauG
Amir MiftakhovG
Pyotr KochetkovG
Jesperi KotkaniemiC

Utah Hockey Club

Colten McIntyreG
Matt VillaltaG
Sebastian CossaG
Karel VejmelkaG
Anson ThorntonG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Utah Hockey Club has a 56% win probability, while Hurricanes has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.

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