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Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Blues logo
Blues
St. Louis
1
vs
Avalanche logo
Avalanche
Colorado
3
STL 43%57% COL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueEnterprise Center
St. Louis, MO

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Avalanche (away)
Blues (home)
57%
Win probability
43%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Avalanche defeated the Blues 3-1.

Our model predicted the Avalanche would win with 57% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Avalanche offense (3.8 PPG) outpaces Blues (2.6 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Avalanche (42-10) in better form than Blues (24-29)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Blues and was a contributing factor: Blues are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Avalanche won 1-3

Avalanche won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Avalanche at 57%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

COL
STL
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Defensive Efficiency
Favours COL|Favours STL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/7/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Avalanche

Mackenzie BlackwoodG
Isak PoschG
Scott WedgewoodG
Brock NelsonC
Zakhar BardakovC

Blues

Georgi RomanovG
Joel HoferG
Jordan BinningtonG
Oskar SundqvistC
Pius SuterC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Blues has a 43% win probability, while Avalanche has a 57% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO.

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