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Columbus Blue Jackets at Montreal Canadiens

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Canadiens logo
Canadiens
Montreal
2
vs
Blue Jackets logo
Blue Jackets
Columbus
5
MTL 57%43% CBJ
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueBell Centre
Montreal, QC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Blue Jackets (away)
Canadiens (home)
43%
Win probability
57%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Blue Jackets defeated the Canadiens 5-2.

Our model predicted the Canadiens would win with 57% confidence, but the Blue Jackets pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Canadiens and was a notable factor: Canadiens are 0-0 at home this season
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Canadiens and was a contributing factor: Canadiens offense (3.5 PPG) outpaces Blue Jackets (3.1 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar defensive efficiency (3.3 vs 3.1 Opp PPG)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Blue Jackets won 2-5

Blue Jackets won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Canadiens at 57%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CBJ
MTL
Home Field Advantage
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Favours CBJ|Favours MTL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/11/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Blue Jackets

Elvis MerzlikinsG
Jet GreavesG
Sean MonahanC
Cole SillingerC
Boone JennerC

Canadiens

Jacob FowlerG
Jakub DobesG
Kaapo KahkonenG
Sam MontembeaultG
Jake EvansC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Canadiens has a 57% win probability, while Blue Jackets has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Bell Centre in Montreal, QC.

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