Edmonton Oilers at Utah Utah Hockey Club
Utah Utah Hockey Club 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Utah Hockey Club:
- Home Field Advantage. Utah Hockey Club are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency. Utah Hockey Club defense (2.7 Opp PPG) better than Oilers (3.4 Opp PPG)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: UTA 54% (−5)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: UTA 55% (−4)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: UTA 59% (0)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: UTA 57% (−2)
Win probability movement
UTA home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Utah Hockey Club defeated the Oilers 6-5.
Our model predicted the Utah Hockey Club would win with 59% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a notable factor: Utah Hockey Club are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club defense (2.7 Opp PPG) better than Oilers (3.4 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Oilers and was a contributing factor: Oilers offense (3.5 PPG) outpaces Utah Hockey Club (3.2 PPG)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Utah Hockey Club won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Oilers
Utah Hockey Club
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Utah Hockey Club has a 59% win probability, while Oilers has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.