Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders
NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Maple Leafs (away)
Islanders (home)
15%
Win probability
85%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Islanders defeated the Maple Leafs 5-3.
Our model predicted the Islanders would win with 85% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Key Players
Maple Leafs
Sergei BobrovskyG
Samuel HlavajG
Anthony StolarzG
Auston MatthewsC
John TavaresC
Islanders
Semyon VarlamovG
Vitek VanecekG
Ilya SorokinG
Mathew BarzalC
Casey CizikasC
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Islanders has a 85% win probability, while Maple Leafs has a 15% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY.