Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Islanders defeated the Maple Leafs 5-3.
Our model predicted the Islanders would win with 67% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Rest Days favored the Islanders and was a major factor: Islanders rest advantage (4 days rest) over Maple Leafs (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Islanders and was a notable factor: Islanders are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Islanders and was a contributing factor: Islanders defense (2.8 Opp PPG) better than Maple Leafs (3.5 Opp PPG)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Islanders won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest Days
Islanders rest advantage (4 days rest) over Maple Leafs (back-to-back)
1 factor
Key Players
Maple Leafs
Islanders
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Islanders has a 67% win probability, while Maple Leafs has a 34% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY.