New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes 58% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Hurricanes:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Rest Days. Hurricanes rest advantage (2 days rest) over Islanders (1 day rest)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CAR 54% (−4)
- If the rest edge were neutral: CAR 56% (−2)
Win probability movement
CAR home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Hurricanes defeated the Islanders 4-3.
Our model predicted the Hurricanes would win with 58% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Rest Days favored the Hurricanes and was a contributing factor: Hurricanes rest advantage (2 days rest) over Islanders (1 day rest)
- Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Hurricanes won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Rest DaysFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Hurricanes
Islanders
Odds by Source
| Source | Hurricanes | Islanders | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | - | - | |
| DraftKings | -258 | +210 | -1.5 | 6.5 |
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Islanders
Hurricanes
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Hurricanes has a 58% win probability, while Islanders has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC.