Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons
Baltimore Ravens 55% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Ravens:
- ELO Rating. Falcons ELO 1417 vs Ravens ELO 1535 (diff: -119)
- Home Field Advantage. Falcons are 0-1 at home this season; Ravens are 2-0 on the road
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Ravens at Falcons
The Ravens visit the Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA in NFL regular season Week 5 action.
Our model gives the Ravens a 55% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Falcons will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Ravens (low): Falcons ELO 1417 vs Ravens ELO 1535 (diff: -119)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Ravens (low): Falcons are 0-1 at home this season; Ravens are 2-0 on the road
- Recent Form is neutral: Insufficient games for recent form analysis
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Baltimore Ravens
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Baltimore Ravens
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Falcons
Ravens
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Ravens
Falcons
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Falcons has a 45% win probability, while Ravens has a 55% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA.