MLB power rankings by the PlayDecoded model
2026 season. Teams are ordered by the model's current team-strength rating.
How the rating is computed
The PlayDecoded model already has a team-strength input: Elo. These rankings use each team's latest Elo for the season, the same number that feeds the factor-model win probability. Home advantage is left out, so the order is a neutral-site comparison. A team with no rating yet starts at 1500, the model default. Week-to-week movement compares this week's rank to a stored snapshot from the previous week; until that snapshot exists the change column is an em dash. Season accuracy grades the last pre-kickoff factor-model assessment on each team's finished games, using the same rules as the accuracy page (preseason and exhibition excluded; ties left out of the rate). See remaining strength of schedule for the average rating of each team's remaining opponents.
| Rank | Team | Rating | Change | Record | Season accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | 1616.3 | — | 99-57 | 54.1% (79/146) |
| 2 |  | 1563.8 | — | 83-67 | 52.9% (74/140) |
| 3 |  | 1561.7 | — | 89-64-1 | 61.3% (87/142) |
| 4 |  | 1558.7 | — | 76-70 | 48.1% (65/135) |
| 5 |  | 1557.7 | — | 88-58-2 | 48.6% (67/138) |
| 6 |  | 1553.3 | — | 82-70-1 | 55.6% (79/142) |
| 7 |  | 1550.0 | — | 90-60-1 | 58.9% (83/141) |
| 8 |  | 1530.9 | — | 83-68 | 51.1% (72/141) |
| 9 |  | 1529.8 | — | 76-69-1 | 57.5% (77/134) |
| 10 |  | 1526.7 | — | 79-73-1 | 62.9% (88/140) |
| 11 |  | 1524.4 | — | 67-74-3 | 54.7% (70/128) |
| 12 |  | 1511.8 | — | 81-73-1 | 49.0% (71/145) |
| 13 |  | 1510.4 | — | 74-72 | 52.6% (71/135) |
| 14 |  | 1510.0 | — | 68-72-2 | 54.6% (71/130) |
| 15 |  | 1502.1 | — | 74-73-1 | 51.1% (70/137) |
| 16 |  | 1501.3 | — | 73-73 | 53.0% (71/134) |
| 17 |  | 1501.0 | — | 72-75 | 51.9% (70/135) |
| 18 |  | 1500.5 | — | 69-71-3 | 59.5% (78/131) |
| 19 |  | 1493.2 | — | 73-73 | 45.5% (61/134) |
| 20 |  | 1492.4 | — | 64-83-1 | 49.3% (66/134) |
| 21 |  | 1476.6 | — | 74-71 | 56.7% (76/134) |
| 22 |  | 1473.5 | — | 69-78 | 51.1% (69/135) |
| 23 |  | 1470.9 | — | 70-71-2 | 50.8% (67/132) |
| 24 |  | 1469.0 | — | 69-75 | 50.8% (67/132) |
| 25 |  | 1467.4 | — | 70-75 | 56.3% (76/135) |
| 26 |  | 1454.6 | — | 61-82-1 | 58.8% (77/131) |
| 27 |  | 1411.7 | — | 65-91-1 | 52.8% (75/142) |
| 28 |  | 1408.1 | — | 55-92 | 60.7% (82/135) |
| 29 |  | 1400.0 | — | 56-90-1 | 55.5% (76/137) |
| 30 |  | 1369.5 | — | 59-88-1 | 51.8% (71/137) |