Week 5
Scheduled
Cowboys
Dallas
60%
Slight Lean
vs
Buccaneers
Tampa Bay
40%
DAL vs TBbreakdown →
NFLNFC • East
Dallas Cowboys
NFC Conference • East Division
Record
2-2
Division
East
Conference
NFC
Upcoming
2 games
Next Game Prediction
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers • Fri, Oct 9 12:15 AM
60%
win probability
Model accuracy on Dallas Cowboys: 0% (2 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Dallas Cowboys - 2026 Season
146214471431
Current Elo
1460
Season Change
+26
Season High
1460
Season Low
1434
Avg Change
+2.0
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Dallas Cowboys - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-3%
Model Edge Record
0-1
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | Buccaneers | H | 60% | 79% | -19% | Scheduled |
| Oct 4 | Texans | A | 33% | 37% | -5% | WIN✗ |
| Sep 27 | Ravens | H | 55% | 42% | +13%★ | LOSS✗ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
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Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Dallas Cowboys play in the NFC conference, East division.
The Cowboys play their home games in Dallas.
We analyze Cowboys games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NFL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Guide
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
4 min readRead article
Deep Dive
Home Field Advantage
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Deep Dive
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
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