Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams
Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams head-to-head
Los Angeles Rams 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Rams:
- ELO Rating. Rams ELO 1561 vs Cowboys ELO 1460 (diff: +102)
- Home Field Advantage. Rams are 1-3 at home this season; Cowboys are 1-2 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: LAR 55% (−4)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: LAR 56% (−3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Cowboys at Rams
The Cowboys visit the Rams at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA in NFL regular season Week 15 action.
Our model gives the Rams a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Cowboys to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Rams (low): Rams ELO 1561 vs Cowboys ELO 1460 (diff: +102)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Rams (low): Rams are 1-3 at home this season; Cowboys are 1-2 on the road
- Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Los Angeles Rams
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Los Angeles Rams
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Cowboys
Rams
No player data available
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Los Angeles Rams
- Previous game73%LAR win probability
- Next game59%SEA win probability
Dallas Cowboys
- Previous game51%DAL win probability
- Next game50%DAL win probability
Other Week 15 games
- 55%SF win probability
- 52%PHI win probability
- 59%BUF win probability
- 55%WSH win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Rams has a 59% win probability, while Cowboys has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA.

