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Cleveland Browns at New York Jets

NFLWeek 5 • regular • 2026
Scheduled
Jets logo
Jets
New York
0
vs
Browns logo
Browns
Cleveland
0
NYJ 66%34% CLE
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

New York Jets 66% to win. The biggest signal favoring Jets:

  • Injuries. Jets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Browns 5 out, 0 doubtful

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VenueMetLife Stadium
East Rutherford, NJ

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Browns (away)
Jets (home)
34%
Win probability
66%
0
High-impact factors
1
5
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Browns at Jets

The Browns visit the Jets at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ in NFL regular season Week 5 action.

Our model gives the Jets a 66% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. The Browns will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Injuries favors the Jets (high): Jets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Browns 5 out, 0 doubtful
  • Rest Days favors the Browns (low): Browns has rest advantage (9 days) over Jets (14 days)
  • ELO Rating is neutral: Jets ELO 1403 vs Browns ELO 1422 (diff: -19)
  • The Browns are without 5 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
Jets66%

is strongly favored to win

Key Factor
Injuries
Favors NYJ

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors New York Jets
  • Rest DaysFavors Cleveland Browns
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Home Field AdvantageNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CLE
NYJ
Injuries
Rest Days
ELO Rating
Home Field Advantage
Favours CLE|Favours NYJ

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Jets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Browns 5 out, 0 doubtful

Jets

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/4/2026, 8:00:04 AM

Jets

No injuries reported

Browns

Elgton JenkinsC(Concussion)
OUT
Mason GrahamDT(Knee)
QUESTIONABLE
Teven JenkinsG(Back)
OUT
Justin JeffersonLB(Coach's Decision)
OUT
Taylen GreenQB(Coach's Decision)
OUT
Tylan WallaceWR(Knee)
OUT

Key Players

Browns

Dillon GabrielQB
Deshaun WatsonQB
Shedeur SandersQB
Taylen GreenQBOUT
-4.8% win prob impact
Isaiah BondWR

Jets

No player data available

Frequently Asked Questions

Jets has a 66% win probability, while Browns has a 34% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.

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