MLBNational League • NL East

Miami Marlins

National League Conference • NL East Division

Record

69-71

Division

NL East

Conference

National League

Upcoming

0 games

Team Analytics

Elo Rating History

Miami Marlins - 2026 Season

155115011451

Current Elo

1501

Season Change

Season High

1501

Season Low

1501

Avg Change

+4.9

Games

Model vs. Market History

Miami Marlins - 2026 Season

Avg Edge

-7%

Model Edge Record

2-0

Model Edge Win %

100%

Date	Opponent	H/A	Model	Market	Edge	Result
Sep 27	Braves	H	48%	53%	-5%	WIN✗
Sep 26	Braves	H	50%	50%	0%	LOSS✓
Sep 25	Braves	H	60%	-	-	WIN✓
Sep 24	Cubs	A	34%	-	-	LOSS✓
Sep 23	Cubs	A	43%	-	-	WIN✗
Aug 7	Angels	H	68%	-	-	LOSS✗
Aug 6	Braves	A	33%	-	-	LOSS✓
Aug 5	Braves	A	33%	-	-	LOSS✓
Aug 4	Braves	A	33%	-	-	LOSS✓
Aug 2	Mets	A	45%	46%	-1%	WIN✗
Aug 1	Mets	A	45%	51%	-6%	WIN✗
Jul 31	Mets	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 30	Mets	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 29	Phillies	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 28	Phillies	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 27	Phillies	H	61%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 26	Padres	H	53%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 25	Padres	H	53%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 24	Padres	H	53%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 23	Astros	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 22	Astros	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 21	Astros	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 19	Brewers	A	44%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 18	Brewers	A	44%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 17	Brewers	A	44%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 12	Guardians	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 11	Guardians	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 10	Guardians	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 9	Mariners	H	56%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 8	Mariners	H	56%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 7	Mariners	H	56%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 5	Athletics	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 5	Athletics	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 4	Athletics	A	44%	45%	-1%	WIN✗
Jul 2	Rockies	A	45%	56%	-11%	LOSS✓
Jul 2	Rockies	A	45%	54%	-9%	LOSS✓
Jul 1	Rockies	A	45%	54%	-9%	WIN✗
Jun 30	Rockies	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 28	Cardinals	A	46%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 27	Cardinals	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 27	Cardinals	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 24	Rangers	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 23	Rangers	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 22	Rangers	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 21	Giants	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 20	Giants	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 19	Giants	H	56%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 17	Phillies	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 16	Phillies	A	46%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 15	Phillies	A	46%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 14	Pirates	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 13	Pirates	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 12	Pirates	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 11	Diamondbacks	H	56%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 10	Diamondbacks	H	56%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 9	Diamondbacks	H	56%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 7	Rays	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 6	Rays	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 5	Rays	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 3	Nationals	A	43%	50%	-7%	WIN✗
Jun 2	Nationals	A	43%	49%	-6%	WIN✗
Jun 1	Nationals	A	43%	51%	-8%	WIN✗
May 31	Mets	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 30	Mets	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 29	Mets	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 27	Blue Jays	A	17%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 26	Blue Jays	A	44%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 25	Blue Jays	A	32%	-	-	WIN✗
May 24	Mets	H	92%	-	-	WIN✓
May 23	Mets	H	89%	-	-	WIN✓
May 22	Mets	H	68%	-	-	WIN✓
May 21	Braves	H	18%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 20	Braves	H	23%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 19	Braves	H	48%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 18	Braves	H	34%	-	-	WIN✗
May 17	Rays	A	18%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 16	Rays	A	36%	-	-	WIN✗
May 15	Rays	A	10%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 14	Twins	A	32%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 13	Twins	A	61%	-	-	WIN✓
May 12	Twins	A	15%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 10	Nationals	H	73%	-	-	WIN✓
May 9	Nationals	H	56%	-	-	WIN✓
May 8	Nationals	H	7%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 7	Orioles	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
May 6	Orioles	H	59%	-	-	LOSS✗
May 5	Orioles	H	48%	55%	-7%	LOSS✓
May 4	Phillies	H	9%	50%	-41%	LOSS✓
May 3	Phillies	H	20%	43%	-23%	LOSS✓
May 2	Phillies	H	57%	44%	+14%★	WIN✓
May 1	Phillies	H	42%	51%	-9%	LOSS✓
Apr 29	Dodgers	A	64%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 29	Dodgers	A	65%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 28	Dodgers	A	47%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 26	Giants	A	28%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 25	Giants	A	26%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 25	Giants	A	58%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 22	Cardinals	H	39%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 21	Cardinals	H	8%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 20	Cardinals	H	49%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 19	Brewers	H	47%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 18	Brewers	H	49%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 17	Brewers	H	16%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 15	Braves	A	38%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 14	Braves	A	40%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 13	Braves	A	22%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 12	Tigers	A	77%	-	-	LOSS✗
Apr 11	Tigers	A	41%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 10	Tigers	A	72%	-	-	LOSS✗
Apr 9	Reds	H	61%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 8	Reds	H	60%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 7	Reds	H	30%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 6	Reds	H	40%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 5	Yankees	A	28%	28%	-1%	WIN✗
Apr 4	Yankees	A	19%	30%	-11%	LOSS✓
Apr 3	Yankees	A	18%	41%	-23%	LOSS✓
Apr 1	Chicago White Sox	H	87%	57%	+29%★	WIN✓
Mar 31	Chicago White Sox	H	88%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 30	Chicago White Sox	H	69%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 29	Rockies	H	80%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 28	Rockies	H	80%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 27	Rockies	H	90%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 22	Mets	H	56%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 21	Cardinals	A	46%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 20	Nationals	H	52%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 20	Astros	A	63%	-	-	WIN✓
Mar 18	Nationals	A	45%	-	-	Scheduled
Mar 17	Mets	H	18%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 16	Blue Jays	H	34%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 15	Astros	A	26%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 14	Cardinals	H	59%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 14	Nationals	A	41%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 13	Mets	A	25%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 11	Astros	H	26%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 10	Nationals	H	42%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 9	Yankees	A	17%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 8	Cardinals	H	57%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 7	Astros	A	37%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 7	Mets	H	53%	-	-	WIN✓

Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies

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Frequently Asked Questions

The Miami Marlins play in the National League conference, NL East division.

The Marlins play their home games in Miami.

We analyze Marlins games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.

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