MLB weekly recap: week of 2026-06-01 (2026)
Hit rate this week: 52% across 91 games; season-to-date: 54%. Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as model accuracy.
Biggest upset
The model's favorite lost at 57% — final WSH 1–MIA 4
- Home Field Advantage (favors WSH)
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers at Rays Mon, Jun 1 | TB 56% • DET 44% | TB 9–DET 10 | Miss |
| Marlins at Nationals Mon, Jun 1 | WSH 57% • MIA 43% | WSH 3–MIA 7 | Miss |
| Royals at Reds Mon, Jun 1 | CIN 55% • KC 45% | CIN 2–KC 9 | Miss |
| Giants at Brewers Mon, Jun 1 | MIL 56% • SF 44% | MIL 16–SF 2 | Hit |
| Chicago White Sox at Twins Mon, Jun 1 | MIN 55% • CWS 45% | MIN 9–CWS 6 | Hit |
| Rangers at Cardinals Mon, Jun 1 | STL 54% • TEX 46% | STL 1–TEX 2 | Miss |
| Rockies at Angels Tue, Jun 2 | LAA 54% • COL 46% | LAA 8–COL 9 | Miss |
| Mets at Mariners Tue, Jun 2 | SEA 55% • NYM 45% | SEA 3–NYM 2 | Hit |
| Dodgers at Diamondbacks Tue, Jun 2 | ARI 55% • LAD 45% | ARI 4–LAD 1 | Hit |
| Padres at Phillies Tue, Jun 2 | PHI 53% • SD 47% | PHI 3–SD 2 | Hit |
| Tigers at Rays Tue, Jun 2 | TB 56% • DET 44% | TB 0–DET 8 | Miss |
| Orioles at Red Sox Tue, Jun 2 | BOS 55% • BAL 45% | BOS 2–BAL 4 | Miss |
| Marlins at Nationals Tue, Jun 2 | WSH 57% • MIA 43% | WSH 3–MIA 7 | Miss |
| Guardians at Yankees Tue, Jun 2 | NYY 55% • CLE 45% | NYY 4–CLE 9 | Miss |
| Royals at Reds Tue, Jun 2 | CIN 55% • KC 45% | CIN 4–KC 3 | Hit |
| Blue Jays at Braves Tue, Jun 2 | ATL 54% • TOR 46% | ATL 4–TOR 3 | Hit |
| Chicago White Sox at Twins Tue, Jun 2 | MIN 55% • CWS 45% | MIN 6–CWS 4 | Hit |
| Giants at Brewers Tue, Jun 2 | MIL 56% • SF 44% | MIL 8–SF 3 | Hit |
| Rangers at Cardinals Tue, Jun 2 | STL 54% • TEX 46% | STL 4–TEX 7 | Miss |
| Athletics at Cubs Wed, Jun 3 | CHC 55% • OAK 45% | CHC 1–OAK 2 | Miss |
| Pirates at Astros Wed, Jun 3 | HOU 54% • PIT 46% | HOU 6–PIT 10 | Miss |
| Rockies at Angels Wed, Jun 3 | LAA 54% • COL 46% | LAA 2–COL 8 | Miss |
| Mets at Mariners Wed, Jun 3 | SEA 55% • NYM 45% | SEA 8–NYM 3 | Hit |
| Dodgers at Diamondbacks Wed, Jun 3 | ARI 55% • LAD 45% | ARI 5–LAD 6 | Miss |
| Marlins at Nationals Wed, Jun 3 | WSH 57% • MIA 43% | WSH 1–MIA 4 | Miss |
| Tigers at Rays Wed, Jun 3 | TB 56% • DET 44% | TB 2–DET 7 | Miss |
| Chicago White Sox at Twins Wed, Jun 3 | MIN 55% • CWS 45% | MIN 0–CWS 8 | Miss |
| Mets at Mariners Wed, Jun 3 | SEA 55% • NYM 45% | SEA 1–NYM 7 | Miss |
| Padres at Phillies Wed, Jun 3 | PHI 53% • SD 47% | PHI 3–SD 2 | Hit |
| Orioles at Red Sox Wed, Jun 3 | BOS 55% • BAL 45% | BOS 8–BAL 1 | Hit |
| Guardians at Yankees Wed, Jun 3 | NYY 55% • CLE 45% | NYY 4–CLE 5 | Miss |
| Royals at Reds Wed, Jun 3 | CIN 55% • KC 45% | CIN 2–KC 5 | Miss |
| Blue Jays at Braves Wed, Jun 3 | ATL 54% • TOR 46% | ATL 7–TOR 3 | Hit |
| Giants at Brewers Wed, Jun 3 | MIL 56% • SF 44% | MIL 0–SF 1 | Miss |
| Rangers at Cardinals Wed, Jun 3 | STL 54% • TEX 46% | STL 5–TEX 3 | Hit |
| Athletics at Cubs Thu, Jun 4 | CHC 55% • OAK 45% | CHC 4–OAK 5 | Miss |
| Pirates at Astros Thu, Jun 4 | HOU 54% • PIT 46% | HOU 11–PIT 9 | Hit |
| Rockies at Angels Thu, Jun 4 | LAA 54% • COL 46% | LAA 11–COL 4 | Hit |
| Dodgers at Diamondbacks Thu, Jun 4 | ARI 55% • LAD 45% | ARI 0–LAD 7 | Miss |
| Padres at Phillies Thu, Jun 4 | PHI 53% • SD 47% | PHI 6–SD 4 | Hit |
| Guardians at Yankees Thu, Jun 4 | NYY 55% • CLE 45% | NYY 2–CLE 1 | Hit |
| Orioles at Red Sox Thu, Jun 4 | BOS 55% • BAL 45% | BOS 2–BAL 8 | Miss |
| Giants at Brewers Thu, Jun 4 | MIL 56% • SF 44% | MIL 9–SF 12 | Miss |
| Blue Jays at Braves Thu, Jun 4 | ATL 54% • TOR 46% | ATL 2–TOR 7 | Miss |
| Royals at Twins Thu, Jun 4 | MIN 55% • KC 45% | MIN 6–KC 8 | Miss |
| Athletics at Cubs Fri, Jun 5 | CHC 55% • OAK 45% | CHC 7–OAK 6 | Hit |
| Pirates at Astros Fri, Jun 5 | HOU 54% • PIT 46% | HOU 1–PIT 5 | Miss |
| Dodgers at Diamondbacks Fri, Jun 5 | ARI 55% • LAD 45% | ARI 3–LAD 2 | Hit |
| Giants at Cubs Fri, Jun 5 | CHC 48% • SF 52% | CHC 3–SF 18 | Hit |
| Chicago White Sox at Phillies Fri, Jun 5 | PHI 53% • CWS 47% | PHI 8–CWS 6 | Hit |
| Mariners at Tigers Fri, Jun 5 | DET 55% • SEA 45% | DET 7–SEA 3 | Hit |
| Red Sox at Yankees Fri, Jun 5 | NYY 55% • BOS 45% | NYY 3–BOS 5 | Miss |
| Orioles at Blue Jays Fri, Jun 5 | TOR 51% • BAL 49% | TOR 3–BAL 13 | Miss |
| Rays at Marlins Fri, Jun 5 | MIA 55% • TB 45% | MIA 0–TB 6 | Miss |
| Pirates at Braves Fri, Jun 5 | ATL 60% • PIT 40% | ATL 6–PIT 3 | Hit |
| Athletics at Astros Sat, Jun 6 | HOU 55% • OAK 45% | HOU 5–OAK 1 | Hit |
| Royals at Twins Sat, Jun 6 | MIN 55% • KC 45% | MIN 5–KC 3 | Hit |
| Reds at Cardinals Sat, Jun 6 | STL 54% • CIN 46% | STL 10–CIN 3 | Hit |
| Guardians at Rangers Sat, Jun 6 | TEX 56% • CLE 44% | TEX 3–CLE 2 | Hit |
| Brewers at Rockies Sat, Jun 6 | COL 54% • MIL 47% | COL 7–MIL 9 | Miss |
| Nationals at Diamondbacks Sat, Jun 6 | ARI 50% • WSH 50% | ARI 1–WSH 14 | Hit |
| Mets at Padres Sat, Jun 6 | SD 53% • NYM 47% | SD 0–NYM 5 | Miss |
| Angels at Dodgers Sat, Jun 6 | LAD 53% • LAA 47% | LAD 1–LAA 0 | Hit |
| Mariners at Tigers Sat, Jun 6 | DET 55% • SEA 45% | DET 0–SEA 4 | Miss |
| Royals at Twins Sat, Jun 6 | MIN 55% • KC 45% | MIN 2–KC 3 | Miss |
| Reds at Cardinals Sat, Jun 6 | STL 54% • CIN 46% | STL 6–CIN 5 | Hit |
| Giants at Cubs Sat, Jun 6 | CHC 54% • SF 46% | CHC 3–SF 2 | Hit |
| Orioles at Blue Jays Sat, Jun 6 | TOR 57% • BAL 43% | TOR 6–BAL 4 | Hit |
| Chicago White Sox at Phillies Sat, Jun 6 | PHI 55% • CWS 45% | PHI 3–CWS 6 | Miss |
| Pirates at Braves Sat, Jun 6 | ATL 54% • PIT 46% | ATL 6–PIT 3 | Hit |
| Rays at Marlins Sat, Jun 6 | MIA 55% • TB 45% | MIA 4–TB 3 | Hit |
| Athletics at Astros Sat, Jun 6 | HOU 55% • OAK 45% | HOU 13–OAK 2 | Hit |
| Nationals at Diamondbacks Sat, Jun 6 | ARI 52% • WSH 48% | ARI 1–WSH 6 | Miss |
| Guardians at Rangers Sat, Jun 6 | TEX 55% • CLE 45% | TEX 0–CLE 6 | Miss |
| Brewers at Rockies Sun, Jun 7 | COL 54% • MIL 47% | COL 1–MIL 7 | Miss |
| Mets at Padres Sun, Jun 7 | SD 55% • NYM 45% | SD 3–NYM 2 | Hit |
| Angels at Dodgers Sun, Jun 7 | LAD 55% • LAA 45% | LAD 9–LAA 2 | Hit |
| Chicago White Sox at Phillies Sun, Jun 7 | PHI 55% • CWS 45% | PHI 9–CWS 5 | Hit |
| Pirates at Braves Sun, Jun 7 | ATL 54% • PIT 46% | ATL 3–PIT 2 | Hit |
| Red Sox at Yankees Sun, Jun 7 | NYY 55% • BOS 45% | NYY 6–BOS 1 | Hit |
| Orioles at Blue Jays Sun, Jun 7 | TOR 57% • BAL 43% | TOR 6–BAL 4 | Hit |
| Mariners at Tigers Sun, Jun 7 | DET 55% • SEA 45% | DET 5–SEA 4 | Hit |
| Rays at Marlins Sun, Jun 7 | MIA 55% • TB 45% | MIA 4–TB 1 | Hit |
| Royals at Twins Sun, Jun 7 | MIN 55% • KC 45% | MIN 5–KC 6 | Miss |
| Athletics at Astros Sun, Jun 7 | HOU 55% • OAK 45% | HOU 0–OAK 5 | Miss |
| Reds at Cardinals Sun, Jun 7 | STL 54% • CIN 46% | STL 5–CIN 3 | Hit |
| Guardians at Rangers Sun, Jun 7 | TEX 55% • CLE 45% | TEX 10–CLE 0 | Hit |
| Brewers at Rockies Sun, Jun 7 | COL 54% • MIL 47% | COL 4–MIL 12 | Miss |
| Nationals at Diamondbacks Sun, Jun 7 | ARI 52% • WSH 48% | ARI 5–WSH 1 | Hit |
| Mets at Padres Sun, Jun 7 | SD 55% • NYM 45% | SD 3–NYM 7 | Miss |
| Angels at Dodgers Sun, Jun 7 | LAD 55% • LAA 45% | LAD 5–LAA 13 | Miss |