Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
HOU 54%46% PIT
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate
Houston Astros 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Astros:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Pirates (away)
Astros (home)
46%
Win probability
54%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Astros54%
has a slight edge to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors HOU
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Houston Astros
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
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What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
PIT
HOU
Home Field Advantage
Favours PIT|Favours HOU
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 6/3/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Key Players
Pirates
Bubba ChandlerSP
Mitch KellerSP
Carmen MlodzinskiSP
Paul SkenesSP
Braxton AshcraftSP
Astros
Tatsuya ImaiSP
Mike BurrowsSP
Peter LambertSP
Spencer ArrighettiSP
Nick AllenSS
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Astros has a 54% win probability, while Pirates has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas.