Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
TB 56%44% DET
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Tigers (away)
Rays (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Rays56%
is favored to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors TB
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Tampa Bay Rays
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
DET
TB
Home Field Advantage
Favours DET|Favours TB
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/30/2026, 8:45:01 AM
Key Players
Tigers
Jack FlahertySP
Casey MizeSP
Framber ValdezSP
Keider MonteroSP
Jake RogersC
Rays
No player data available
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Rays has a 56% win probability, while Tigers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida.

