San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Phillies:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Phillies
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- ELO RatingFavors San Diego Padres
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Padres
No player data available
Phillies
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Phillies has a 53% win probability, while Padres has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.