Week 5
Scheduled
Chargers
Los Angeles
42%
vs
Broncos
Denver
58%
Slight Lean
LAC vs DENbreakdown →
NFLAFC • West
Denver Broncos
AFC Conference • West Division
Record
2-2
Division
West
Conference
AFC
Upcoming
2 games
Next Game Prediction
at Los Angeles Chargers • Sun, Oct 11 8:05 PM
58%
win probability
Model accuracy on Denver Broncos: 50% (2 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Denver Broncos - 2026 Season
159915891578
Current Elo
1598
Season Change
+18
Season High
1598
Season Low
1580
Avg Change
-9.6
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Denver Broncos - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-7%
Model Edge Record
0-2
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Seahawks | H | 56% | 47% | +9%★ | Scheduled |
| Oct 11 | Chargers | A | 58% | 62% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Oct 4 | 49ers | A | 48% | 34% | +13%★ | LOSS✓ |
| Sep 28 | Rams | H | 44% | 88% | -44% | WIN✗ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
View all Broncosupcoming games →
Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Denver Broncos play in the AFC conference, West division.
The Broncos play their home games in Denver.
We analyze Broncos games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NFL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Guide
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
4 min readRead article
Deep Dive
Home Field Advantage
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Deep Dive
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
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