Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints
Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints head-to-head
New Orleans Saints 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Saints:
- ELO Rating. Saints ELO 1461 vs Cardinals ELO 1412 (diff: +48)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: NO 52% (−2)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: NO 54% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Cardinals at Saints
The Cardinals visit the Saints at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA in NFL regular season Week 16 action.
Our model gives the Saints a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Cardinals to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Saints (low): Saints ELO 1461 vs Cardinals ELO 1412 (diff: +48)
- Home Field Advantage is neutral: Saints are 0-3 at home this season; Cardinals are 2-2 on the road
- Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors New Orleans Saints
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Cardinals
Saints
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
New Orleans Saints
Arizona Cardinals
- Previous game73%LAR win probability
- Next game51%ARI win probability
Other Week 16 games
- 55%PHI win probability
- 55%CHI win probability
- 54%DEN win probability
- 59%SEA win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Saints has a 54% win probability, while Cardinals has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA.