Las Vegas Raiders at Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals vs Las Vegas Raiders head-to-head
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: ARI 52% (+1)
- If the rating edge were neutral: ARI 52% (+1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Raiders at Cardinals
The Raiders visit the Cardinals at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ in NFL regular season Week 17 action.
Our model gives the Cardinals a 51% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Raiders to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage is neutral: Cardinals are 0-2 at home this season; Raiders are 2-1 on the road
- ELO Rating is neutral: Cardinals ELO 1412 vs Raiders ELO 1415 (diff: -3)
- Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Raiders
Cardinals
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
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How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Arizona Cardinals
- Previous game73%LAR win probability
- Next game57%SF win probability
Las Vegas Raiders
Other Week 17 games
- 53%CIN win probability
- 52%KC win probability
- 52%LAR win probability
- 58%NE win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Cardinals has a 51% win probability, while Raiders has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ.