San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Padres (away)
Diamondbacks (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Diamondbacks won 12-7
Diamondbacks won by a solid margin
Prediction CorrectWe predicted Diamondbacks at 55%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
SD
ARI
Home Field Advantage
Favours SD|Favours ARI
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/26/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Key Players
Padres
No player data available
Diamondbacks
Eduardo RodriguezSP
Zac GallenSP
Ryne NelsonSP
Merrill KellySP
Michael SorokaSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Diamondbacks has a 55% win probability, while Padres has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Estadio Alfredo Harp Helú in Mexico City.