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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Diamondbacks logo
Diamondbacks
Arizona
4
vs
Padres logo
Padres
San Diego
6
ARI 54%46% SD

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Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Padres (away)
Diamondbacks (home)
46%
Win probability
54%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Padres defeated the Diamondbacks 6-4.

Our model predicted the Diamondbacks would win with 54% confidence, but the Padres pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Padres

No player data available

Diamondbacks

Ryne NelsonSP
Michael SorokaSP
Kohl DrakeSP
Merrill KellySP
Jose CabreraSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Diamondbacks has a 54% win probability, while Padres has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Estadio Alfredo Harp Helú in Mexico City.

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