MLB2026 season
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- BAL at BOSWed, Jul 22, 2026BOS 55%BAL 5–1
- BAL at BOSWed, Jul 22, 2026BOS 55%BOS 3–6
- BAL at BOSMon, Jul 20, 2026BOS 55%BOS 5–6
- BAL at BOSThu, Jun 4, 2026BOS 55%BAL 8–2
- BAL at BOSWed, Jun 3, 2026BOS 55%BOS 1–8
- BAL at BOSTue, Jun 2, 2026BOS 55%BAL 4–2
- BOS at BALSun, Apr 26, 2026BAL 55%BOS 5–3
- BOS at BALSat, Apr 25, 2026BAL 55%BOS 17–1
- BOS at BALFri, Apr 24, 2026BAL 57%BAL 3–10
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
44%
4 of 9 decided games
Meetings graded
9
2026
Correct calls
4
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Baltimore Orioles
No recent factors yet.
Boston Red Sox
- ELO Rating — Yankees ELO 1533 vs Red Sox ELO 1567 (diff: -35)
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