MLB2026 season
Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Apr 26, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- MIN at TBSun, Apr 26, 2026TB 55%TB 2–4
- MIN at TBSat, Apr 25, 2026TB 55%TB 1–6
- MIN at TBFri, Apr 24, 2026TB 57%TB 2–6
- TB at MINSun, Apr 5, 2026MIN 55%TB 4–1
- TB at MINSat, Apr 4, 2026MIN 55%TB 7–1
- TB at MINFri, Apr 3, 2026MIN 53%MIN 4–10
- MIN at TBSat, Mar 21, 2026TB 55%TB 2–3
- TB at MINSat, Mar 14, 2026MIN 55%TB 9–6
- MIN at TBTue, Mar 10, 2026TB 56%MIN 6–5
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
56%
5 of 9 decided games
Meetings graded
9
2026
Correct calls
5
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Minnesota Twins
- Offensive Efficiency — Twins offense (4.6 R/G) outpaces Rangers (4.2 R/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Twins are 38-31 at home this season; Rangers are 30-38 on the road
Tampa Bay Rays
No recent factors yet.
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