Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins 61% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Marlins:
- Rest Days. Marlins rest advantage (1 day rest) over Phillies (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Marlins defeated the Phillies 8-7.
Our model predicted the Marlins would win with 61% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Rest Days favored the Marlins and was a major factor: Marlins rest advantage (1 day rest) over Phillies (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Marlins and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Marlins won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Rest DaysFavors Miami Marlins
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Miami Marlins
- Recent FormNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest Days
Marlins rest advantage (1 day rest) over Phillies (back-to-back)
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Phillies
Marlins
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Marlins has a 61% win probability, while Phillies has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida.