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MLB2026 season

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Wed, Jul 29, 2026

Pirates logo
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
0
vs
Diamondbacks logo
ARI
Arizona Diamondbacks
3
PIT 56%44% ARI
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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
33%
2 of 6 decided games
Meetings graded
6
2026
Correct calls
2
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Offensive Efficiency — Diamondbacks offense (4.6 R/G) outpaces Padres (4.4 R/G)
Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Injuries — Pirates healthier (5 out, 0 doubtful) vs Tigers (13 out, 0 doubtful)
  • Offensive Efficiency — Pirates offense (4.7 R/G) outpaces Tigers (4.5 R/G)

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