MLB2026 season
Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Mon, Jul 27, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- SEA at TEXMon, Jul 27, 2026TEX 56%TEX 3–7
- SEA at TEXSun, Jul 26, 2026TEX 56%SEA 6–4
- SEA at TEXSat, Jul 25, 2026TEX 56%TEX 1–7
- SEA at TEXFri, Jul 24, 2026TEX 56%TEX 4–5
- TEX at SEASun, Apr 19, 2026SEA 55%SEA 2–5
- TEX at SEASat, Apr 18, 2026SEA 55%SEA 3–7
- TEX at SEAFri, Apr 17, 2026SEA 55%TEX 5–0
- SEA at TEXWed, Apr 8, 2026TEX 55%TEX 0–3
- SEA at TEXTue, Apr 7, 2026TEX 55%TEX 2–3
- SEA at TEXMon, Apr 6, 2026TEX 55%TEX 1–2
- SEA at TEXFri, Mar 6, 2026—SEA 5–1
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
80%
8 of 10 decided games
Meetings graded
10
2026
Correct calls
8
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Seattle Mariners
- Home Field Advantage — Mariners are 38-35 at home this season; Angels are 30-48 on the road
- Defensive Efficiency — Mariners pitching/defense (4.5 RA/G) better than Angels (4.6 RA/G)
- ELO Rating — Mariners ELO 1462 vs Angels ELO 1417 (diff: +46)
Texas Rangers
- Defensive Efficiency — Rangers pitching/defense (4.4 RA/G) better than Twins (4.9 RA/G)
- Injuries — Rangers healthier (10 out, 0 doubtful) vs Twins (9 out, 0 doubtful)
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