Cleveland Guardians at Colorado Rockies
Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies head-to-head
Colorado Rockies 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Rockies:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: COL 52% (−4)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Rockies and the Guardians played to a 4-4 draw.
Our model had predicted the Rockies to win with 56% confidence. The game ended in a tie, a relatively rare outcome.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Rockies and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison
- Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Guardians won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Colorado Rockies
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Guardians
Rockies
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Colorado Rockies
- Previous game56%LAA win probability
- Next game56%CWS win probability
Cleveland Guardians
Other games on Mar 8, 2026
- 56%LAA win probability
- 56%BAL win probability
- 56%TB win probability
- 56%PIT win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Rockies has a 56% win probability, while Guardians has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick in Scottsdale, Arizona.