Colorado Rockies at Chicago Chicago White Sox
Chicago Chicago White Sox 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Chicago White Sox:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CWS 52% (−4)
Win probability movement
CWS home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Chicago White Sox defeated the Rockies 12-3.
Our model predicted the Chicago White Sox would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Chicago White Sox and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison
- Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Chicago White Sox won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Chicago White Sox
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Rockies
Chicago White Sox
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Chicago White Sox has a 56% win probability, while Rockies has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Camelback Ranch - Glendale in Phoenix, Arizona.