Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets
Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets head-to-head
Minnesota Vikings 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Vikings:
- ELO Rating. Jets ELO 1403 vs Vikings ELO 1602 (diff: -198)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: MIN 48% (−7)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: MIN 56% (+1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Vikings at Jets
The Vikings visit the Jets at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ in NFL regular season Week 17 action.
Our model gives the Vikings a 55% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Jets to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Vikings (medium): Jets ELO 1403 vs Vikings ELO 1602 (diff: -198)
- Home Field Advantage is neutral: Jets are 1-1 at home this season; Vikings are 3-0 on the road
- Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Vikings
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Vikings
Jets
No player data available
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
New York Jets
- Previous game52%NYJ win probability
- Next game65%BUF win probability
Minnesota Vikings
- Previous game51%MIN win probability
- Next game59%MIN win probability
Other Week 17 games
- 53%CIN win probability
- 52%KC win probability
- 52%LAR win probability
- 58%NE win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Jets has a 45% win probability, while Vikings has a 55% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.