Colorado Rockies at Chicago Chicago White Sox
Chicago Chicago White Sox 51% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Chicago White Sox:
- Home Field Advantage. Chicago White Sox are 44-26 at home this season; Rockies are 24-44 on the road
- ELO Rating. Chicago White Sox ELO 1532 vs Rockies ELO 1395 (diff: +137)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Rockies defeated the Chicago White Sox 9-6.
Our model predicted the Chicago White Sox would win with 51% confidence, but the Rockies pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Rockies and was a major factor: Rockies healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Chicago White Sox (9 out, 0 doubtful)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Chicago White Sox and was a notable factor: Chicago White Sox are 44-26 at home this season; Rockies are 24-44 on the road
- ELO Rating favored the Chicago White Sox and was a notable factor: Chicago White Sox ELO 1532 vs Rockies ELO 1395 (diff: +137)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Chicago White Sox have 9 player(s) ruled out, while the Rockies have 7.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Rockies won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Colorado Rockies
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Chicago White Sox
- ELO RatingFavors Chicago Chicago White Sox
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Chicago White Sox
Rockies
Odds by Sportsbook
| Source | Chicago White Sox | Rockies | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -221 | +180 | -1.5 | 8.5 |
| FanDuel | +126 | -162 | +1.5 | 11.5 |
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Rockies healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Chicago White Sox (9 out, 0 doubtful)
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Rockies
Chicago White Sox
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Chicago White Sox has a 51% win probability, while Rockies has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois.