NHL weekly recap: week of 2026-04-13 (2025-26)
Hit rate this week: 59% across 39 games; season-to-date: 53%. Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as model accuracy.
Biggest upset
The model's favorite lost at 69% — final ANA 3–VAN 4
- Rest Days (favors ANA)
- Home Field Advantage (favors ANA)
- Recent Form (favors ANA)
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canucks at Ducks Mon, Apr 13 | ANA 69% • VAN 31% | ANA 3–VAN 4 | Miss |
| Utah Hockey Club at Flames Mon, Apr 13 | CGY 51% • UTA 49% | CGY 4–UTA 1 | Hit |
| Hurricanes at Flyers Mon, Apr 13 | PHI 56% • CAR 44% | PHI 3–CAR 2 | Hit |
| Red Wings at Lightning Mon, Apr 13 | TBL 56% • DET 44% | TBL 4–DET 3 | Hit |
| Rangers at Panthers Mon, Apr 13 | FLA 56% • NYR 44% | FLA 3–NYR 2 | Hit |
| Stars at Maple Leafs Mon, Apr 13 | TOR 56% • DAL 44% | TOR 5–DAL 6 | Miss |
| Wild at Blues Tue, Apr 14 | STL 56% • MIN 44% | STL 6–MIN 3 | Hit |
| Sharks at Predators Tue, Apr 14 | NSH 57% • SJS 43% | NSH 2–SJS 3 | Miss |
| Sabres at Blackhawks Tue, Apr 14 | CHI 57% • BUF 43% | CHI 1–BUF 5 | Miss |
| Kings at Kraken Tue, Apr 14 | SEA 56% • LAK 44% | SEA 3–LAK 5 | Miss |
| Avalanche at Oilers Tue, Apr 14 | EDM 49% • COL 51% | EDM 1–COL 2 | Hit |
| Jets at Golden Knights Tue, Apr 14 | VGK 58% • WPG 42% | VGK 6–WPG 2 | Hit |
| Canadiens at Flyers Tue, Apr 14 | PHI 55% • MTL 45% | PHI 4–MTL 2 | Hit |
| Hurricanes at Islanders Tue, Apr 14 | NYI 58% • CAR 42% | NYI 1–CAR 2 | Miss |
| Devils at Bruins Tue, Apr 14 | BOS 59% • NJD 41% | BOS 4–NJD 0 | Hit |
| Capitals at Blue Jackets Tue, Apr 14 | CBJ 55% • WSH 45% | CBJ 1–WSH 2 | Miss |
| Ducks at Wild Wed, Apr 15 | MIN 55% • ANA 45% | MIN 3–ANA 2 | Hit |
| Jets at Utah Hockey Club Wed, Apr 15 | UTA 67% • WPG 33% | UTA 5–WPG 3 | Hit |
| Avalanche at Flames Wed, Apr 15 | CGY 53% • COL 47% | CGY 1–COL 3 | Miss |
| Penguins at Blues Wed, Apr 15 | STL 55% • PIT 45% | STL 7–PIT 5 | Hit |
| Kings at Canucks Wed, Apr 15 | VAN 53% • LAK 47% | VAN 4–LAK 3 | Hit |
| Red Wings at Panthers Wed, Apr 15 | FLA 56% • DET 44% | FLA 8–DET 1 | Hit |
| Stars at Sabres Wed, Apr 15 | BUF 56% • DAL 44% | BUF 3–DAL 4 | Miss |
| Rangers at Lightning Wed, Apr 15 | TBL 56% • NYR 44% | TBL 2–NYR 4 | Miss |
| Maple Leafs at Senators Wed, Apr 15 | OTT 58% • TOR 42% | OTT 3–TOR 1 | Hit |
| Sharks at Blackhawks Thu, Apr 16 | CHI 56% • SJS 44% | CHI 5–SJS 2 | Hit |
| Kraken at Golden Knights Thu, Apr 16 | VGK 56% • SEA 44% | VGK 4–SEA 1 | Hit |
| Blues at Utah Hockey Club Thu, Apr 16 | UTA 62% • STL 38% | UTA 3–STL 5 | Miss |
| Sharks at Jets Fri, Apr 17 | WPG 62% • SJS 38% | WPG 1–SJS 6 | Miss |
| Ducks at Predators Fri, Apr 17 | NSH 54% • ANA 46% | NSH 4–ANA 5 | Miss |
| Canucks at Oilers Fri, Apr 17 | EDM 64% • VAN 36% | EDM 6–VAN 1 | Hit |
| Kings at Flames Fri, Apr 17 | CGY 57% • LAK 43% | CGY 3–LAK 1 | Hit |
| Kraken at Avalanche Fri, Apr 17 | COL 58% • SEA 42% | COL 2–SEA 0 | Hit |
| Senators at Hurricanes Sat, Apr 18 | CAR 57% • OTT 43% | CAR 2–OTT 0 | Hit |
| Wild at Stars Sat, Apr 18 | DAL 56% • MIN 44% | DAL 1–MIN 6 | Miss |
| Flyers at Penguins Sun, Apr 19 | PIT 57% • PHI 43% | PIT 2–PHI 3 | Miss |
| Kings at Avalanche Sun, Apr 19 | COL 66% • LAK 34% | COL 2–LAK 1 | Hit |
| Canadiens at Lightning Sun, Apr 19 | TBL 61% • MTL 39% | TBL 3–MTL 4 | Miss |
| Bruins at Sabres Sun, Apr 19 | BUF 56% • BOS 44% | BUF 4–BOS 3 | Hit |